Groundwater potential

Identification of the areas where productive aquifer conditions are most likely.

Groundwater potential describes the likelihood of finding productive aquifer conditions at a location. The application combines aquifer properties and recharge conditions and identifies the areas that justify geophysical surveys and exploratory drilling.

OutputPotential map per category and a combined groundwater potential map

DecisionPrioritisation of areas for groundwater exploration

ScaleWatershed to country

Built forA defined aquifer or aquifer system

Default categories

The suggested criteria fall into two categories: the properties that let an aquifer store and transmit water, and the conditions that replenish it. Direct aquifer evidence is preferred; terrain and land-cover indicators serve as proxies where such evidence is missing. These default categories can be renamed or removed by the user, and new categories can be added.

Aquifer characteristics

Lithology, thickness, hydraulic properties, weathering and fracturing of the aquifer.

Recharge conditions

Water input from rainfall and recharge, and the surface conditions that control infiltration.

The criteria library is maintained continuously. In each project, criteria can be added, removed or renamed.

Potential, yield and sustainability

A potential map indicates where groundwater is likely to occur in usable quantities. It does not establish how much water can be abstracted without depleting the aquifer.

Potential

Relative likelihood of productive aquifer conditions, mapped by the application.

Yield

Productivity of individual wells, determined by drilling and pumping tests.

Sustainable abstraction

Volume that can be withdrawn over time, derived from the water balance of the aquifer.

Constraints

Constraints exclude areas where abstraction is not possible or not permitted, such as protected areas, built-up areas or zones of saline groundwater. The application suggests none.

From criteria to potential

  1. CriteriaStandardised so that high scores consistently mean high potential; correlated indicators selected, not combined
  2. Category mapsWeights within each category give its potential map
  3. Potential mapWeights between the categories combine the category maps
  4. Target areasContiguous areas of very high potential in which no criterion falls below a minimum value

The direction of each criterion usually follows from its effect on storage and replenishment: high transmissivity, a thick saturated zone, weathered or fractured rock and high recharge increase the potential, while steep slopes and low-permeability cover decrease it. Several criteria express the same effect: hydraulic conductivity, saturated thickness and transmissivity are related, as are rainfall and recharge. Selecting one of each pair avoids counting the same influence twice. Weights come from the analytic hierarchy process, ranking, rating, the multi-influencing factor method or an anonymous stakeholder survey.

Results

The result classes rank the locations within the study area by their relative potential; they do not predict well yields.

Sensitivity analysis shows which areas keep their class when the weights change. Validation against independent well data, such as yields or borehole success rates, will follow in a later version.

Typical questions

  • Where should geophysical surveys and exploratory drilling concentrate?
  • Which villages lie in areas of low potential and need alternative supply options?
  • Which hard-rock areas offer weathered or fractured zones with usable groundwater?
  • How does the potential pattern change when proxies replace direct aquifer data?

Case stories

No case stories for this application yet.

References

Start a groundwater potential project

Select “Groundwater potential” when creating a project. The suggested criteria appear in step 2.